Happy New Year
My predictions for the the New Year -- 2008
1) More global warming skeptics will come forward as the weather turns colder, due to a shift in the Pacific Ocean to a cool phase. The satellite global temperatures will continue to decline, while the surface temperatures continue to increase due to urban heat island effects. These contaminated temperature records will continue to support claims of global warming, all the while the arctic sea ice will increase in 2008 and mountain glaciers will slowly start growing again.
UPDATE: From the Investors Business Daily, via ICECAP Global Warming 'Consensus' Fades.
2) The official start of Sunspot Cycle 24 will be delayed another year, indicating cycle 24 will be minimum cycle. Historically minimum cycles have produced cooler temperatures on earth, all thought the specific mechanism is not clear.
3) Yearly average prices of gas and diesel will continue to climb as the State levies new fuel taxes to control green house gases. These increases will slow local tourism which will add to the local economic decline. Increased fuel prices will promote more Internet shopping, which will be supported as a greenhouse gas reduction measure by the Air Resources Board, creating an ever steeper decline in the local economy.
4) Local economics and greenhouse gas regulations will become major issues in local city and County elections, yet few voters will see the real connection. Ballots will be cast on emotional issues, rather than vote the scientific evidence. There has been no significant warming trend in the Sierra, most of California's warming is in the liberal coastal counties.
5) Nate Beason will be re-elected in the 1st District and Ted Owens in District 5, they are proven leaders regardless of contrary claims. I do not know enough about the 2nd District candidates to venture a prediction. Perhaps an update will be in order after the campaigning starts.
6) The tribal warfare will continue in Nevada City over the Downtown Association strategy and fees. A tightening economy will increase the intensity of the warfare.
7) Grass Valley City Council actions will continue to reveal they cannot live up their vision of Grass Valley becoming Western Nevada County's center of commerce. Their actions will speak louder than their words.
8) The Union will continue to struggle with the web software levied by the mother ship in Reno. Some days it works, some days it doesn't. Makes every new day an adventure.
9) The Union Editor will break his New Years resolution to not post comments on local conservative blogs.
10) Local blogs will become more powerful in shaping local public opinion, thus providing an alternative to the almost news. According to a resent Media Democracy survey, user-generated content is in tremendous demand across the generations, with 51 percent all consumers watching and/or reading content created by others, it jumps to 71 percent for younger readers.