Russ Steele
S. Knox and D. H. Douglass had published an paper on Recent energy balance of Earth in the International Journal of Geosciences, currently in press.
Abstract
A recently published estimate of Earth’s global warming trend is 0.63 ± 0.28 W/m2, as calculated from ocean heat con- tent anomaly data spanning 1993–2008. This value is not representative of the recent (2003–2008) warming/cooling rate because of a “flattening” that occurred around 2001–2002. Using only 2003–2008 data from Argo floats, we find by four different algorithms that the recent trend ranges from –0.010 to –0.160 W/m2 with a typical error bar of ±0.2 W/m2. These results fail to support the existence of a frequently-cited large positive computed radiative imbalance.
Editor Comment: One again here is a case where the facts prove the computer models are wrong. K. Trenberth and J. Fasullo, “Tracking Earth’s energy,” Science, suggested that the ocean were hiding enegy. The authors of this paper think "the missing energy problem is probably caused by a serious overestimate by TF of FTOA, which, they state, is most accurately determined by modeling." When using computer models you can usual get the answer that you are looking for. You may recall that Kevin Trenberth said this in one of the Climategate CRU emails:
"The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t."
In summary, the authors of this paper find that estimates of the recent (2003–2008) OHC rates of change are preponderantly negative. "This does not support the existence of either a large positive radiative imbalance or a “missing energy.” So unable to account for the lask of warming Trenberth went looking for it in a computer model. Once again the facts trumps a warmer's computer model. When will they learn?
